Bulletpoints:
– Bitcoin options traders have revised their expectations to $30,000 by the end of March according to Glassnode data.
– Bitcoin has recorded seven consecutive green daily closes, which took it 25% higher and recaptured $20,000.
– Options traders have become more bullish due to the recent bullish tone in the crypto market.

Bitcoin options traders have become more bullish in the crypto market due to recent price action that has taken a decidedly bullish tone. According to Glassnode data analyzed by CryptoSlate, Bitcoin options traders have re-evaluated their expectations for the cryptocurrency and are now eyeing a price of $30,000 by the end of March.

In the second week of the new year, Bitcoin recorded seven consecutive green daily closes, resulting in an increase of 25% and recapturing $20,000 for the first time since the FTX collapse roughly nine weeks ago. This buoyant price action has caused a shift in sentiment among options traders.

Previously, research had highlighted a bullishness among Bitcoin and Ethereum options traders, as denoted by the prevalence of open interest calls, over puts, in both instances. Calls and puts refer to the buying and selling, respectively, of options. These derivative products give holders the right, but not the obligation, to buy or sell the underlying asset at some future point for a predetermined price. At that time, for Bitcoin, the range between $15,000 and $20,000 was favored due to the relatively even spread of calls and puts within this spread.

However, due to the recent bullish tone in the market, Bitcoin options traders have adjusted their outlook and are now eyeing a price of $30,000 by the end of March. This increased bullishness indicates confidence in the cryptocurrency’s price action over the coming months. It is yet to be seen whether this sentiment will hold, or if the market will take a turn for the worse.

Bulletpoints:
1. A report by Chainalysis found that illegal on-chain cryptocurrency activities have reached an all-time high of $20.1 billion.
2. Of the $20.1 billion, 44% came from activity associated with sanctioned entities, such as Blender and Tornado Cash.
3. There was a 7% increase in crypto funds stolen, while the volumes of transactions related to more conventional crimes, such as darknet marketing and terrorism financing, decreased.

Article:
Cryptocurrency has become a popular form of currency in the digital age, and with its increased usage comes increased potential for illegal activities. According to a recent report by Chainalysis, illegal on-chain cryptocurrency activities have reached an all-time high of $20.1 billion. This represents a significant increase from the previous year, with the majority of this amount coming from activity associated with sanctioned entities.

The report found that 44% of the $20.1 billion came from activity associated with sanctioned entities, such as Blender and Tornado Cash. These services have been accused of money laundering in the past, and the U.S. Office of Foreign Assets Control (OFAC) has implemented some of its most severe crypto sanctions in the past two months to combat this activity.

Unfortunately, the report also found that there has been a 7% increase in crypto funds stolen. This could be attributed to the rise in cryptocurrency-related scams, which can involve fake websites, phishing emails, and malicious software. However, the report did find some good news, as the volumes of transactions related to more conventional crimes, such as darknet marketing and terrorism financing, have decreased.

The report highlighted that these figures are “a lower-bound estimate” and are likely to increase over time as more addresses associated with illicit activity are identified. As cryptocurrency usage continues to grow, authorities will need to continue to find new ways to combat the illegal activities that accompany it. However, the data suggests that the efforts of governments and law enforcement are having an impact.

• Fetch.ai (FET) has become a listed token on Proof of Reserves (PoR) for several exchanges, including Binance, Huobi and Bitfinex.
• FET token has seen significant increases in price and active addresses due to the surge in Artificial Intelligence (AI) token popularity.
• FET transfer volume (USD) has broken out to approach $20 million.

The AI crypto sector has been gaining immense popularity in the past months, and has been reflected in the price and active addresses of Fetch.ai (FET). FET has recently become a listed token on Proof of Reserves (PoR) for several exchanges, including Binance, Huobi and Bitfinex, according to Glassnode data. The token has seen a significant increase in price over the last 24 hours, and an even more substantial increase over the last seven days, with a pump of 80.89%.

The rise in popularity of FET has also been reflected in its transfer volume (USD), which has broken out to approach $20 million. FET is a decentralized digital representation of the world in which autonomous software agents perform useful economic work. This involves delivering data or providing services, which are then rewarded with FET for their efforts.

Binance, Huobi and Bitfinex have all listed FET as a Proof of Reserve asset. This means that these exchanges are now able to confidently guarantee that all the FET tokens they list and trade are backed by real-world assets. This is a major step forward in ensuring the legitimacy of FET, and further increases the popularity of the AI sector.

The rise of AI tokens is indicative of the further adoption of blockchain technology in the real world. AI tokens offer an exciting new way to invest in blockchain technology, and FET is leading the way as one of the first AI tokens to become a listed Proof of Reserve asset. As more exchanges continue to list FET and other AI tokens, investors can look forward to further growth in the AI crypto sector.

• On-chain data shows that Nexo-linked addresses have recorded outflows of nearly $9 million following news of financial crimes investigations by the Bulgarian government.
• Nexo’s real-time attestation by Armanino showed that its customer’s liabilities were $2.42 billion (133,263 Bitcoin) as of Jan. 12.
• Several crypto community members believe that Nexo could be the next victim of a crypto contagion that has taken several other companies by storm.

Crypto intelligence platform Arkham Intelligence recently reported that addresses related to crypto lender Nexo were recording outflows of roughly $9 million following news of financial crimes investigations by the Bulgarian government. A breakdown of the transactions showed that Nexo’s address, 0xFfe, saw the majority of the withdrawals, which were populated by transactions from retail investors who majorly deposited to centralized exchanges like Binance, Kraken, etc.

Nexo’s real-time attestation by Armanino showed that its customer’s liabilities were $2.42 billion (133,263 Bitcoin) as of Jan. 12. This has led to a sense of uncertainty in the crypto community, with some believing that Nexo could be the next victim of a crypto contagion that has taken several other companies by storm. A partner at MetaCartel Ventures DAO, Adam Cochran, said Nexo would be „the last of the shady centralized stakers (to) fall.“ He added that the firm had argued with him that its operations „were super clean and audited.“ Ram Ahluwalia, the CEO of Lumida Wealth, also commented on the situation, saying that he had called out „Nexo’s nonsense back in June and on Laura Shin’s podcast.“

This news has also caused a stir in the DeFi community, with some speculating that Nexo’s outflows could be a sign of a larger trend in the DeFi market. While it is too early to tell whether this is the case, the news has certainly caused some unease in the DeFi space. However, some have argued that the outflows may simply be the result of traders taking profits from their positions, rather than a sign of a larger underlying problem.

In the meantime, Nexo is continuing to operate as usual, and has stated that it is cooperating with the Bulgarian authorities in their investigation. It remains to be seen what the outcome of this investigation will be, and how it will affect the future of the crypto lender.

Eine Wettquote beschreibt indirekt den Geldbetrag, den man gewinnen kann, wenn ein Ereignis den Ausgang nimmt, den man als Wettender vorhergesagt hat. Diese Quote wird über Wahrscheinlichkeiten berechnet, die sich aus verschiedenen Faktoren, wie den bisherigen Leistungen der Teilnehmer ergeben.

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Im Bereich der Fußballwetten geben immer drei Dezimalzahlen die Quoten an, da hier ja nicht nur auf einen Sieg einer der Mannschaften gewettet werden kann, sondern als dritte Option auch auf ein „Unentschieden“.

Die Bedeutung der Wahrscheinlichkeit

Die Höhe der jeweils festgelegten Quoten korreliert negativ mit der Wahrscheinlichkeit des jeweiligen Ereignisses. Das bedeutet, dass die Wettquote dann besonders hoch ist, wenn das Ereignis selber vom „Buchmacher“ als eher unwahrscheinlich eingestuft wird. Der persönliche Gewinn wird berechnet, indem man die jeweils festgelegte Wettquote mit dem getätigten Einsatz multipliziert.

Dies lässt sich am Beispiel der Fußballwette folgendermaßen darstellen: Wenn bei einem Spiel von Bayern München gegen den VFB Stuttgart als Quoten die Ziffern 1.50 / 2.00 / 3.00 angegeben sind, so verdient man bei einem Gewinn der Bayern und einem Einsatz von 100 Euro einen Betrag von 150 Euro, bei einem „Unentschieden“ 200 Euro, sowie bei einem Gewinn des VFB 300 Euro. Abzüglich des Einsatzes ergeben sich hier Nettogewinne von 50, 100 oder 200 Euro. Sicher online wetten ist Voraussetzung.

Gibt es den perfekten Zeitpunkt für die Wettabgabe?

Leider lässt sich diese Frage kaum allgemeingültig beantworten. Grundsätzlich gilt allerdings, dass man die Wette unabhängig vom Bereich (also Fußballwette, Pferderennen usw.) weder übertrieben früh, noch zu kurz vor dem Ereignis einreichen sollte. Ein bisschen hängt das allerdings auch von der Taktik ab, die man selber fährt. Manche Menschen gehen lieber das höhere Risiko ein und wetten auf den Außenseiter, wobei sich aus dieser Taktik ja dann auch die größeren Gewinne ergeben, wenn man denn richtig liegt. Andere vertrauen lieber auf die Favoriten.

Hier gilt zu erwähnen, dass die Quoten der Favoriten oft bis kurz vor Spiel- oder Ereignisbeginn noch relativ niedrig sind und kurz vor knapp deutlich steigen. Falls man eher dazu neigt, auf die Favoriten zu tippen, kann die späte Abgabe des Wettscheines durchaus sinnvoll sein. Es gilt auch zu bedenken, dass man sich mit einer allzu frühen Abgabe der Wette möglicherweise zu stark an ein Ergebnis bindet und die Faktoren, die kurzfristig eine Rolle spielen nicht mehr in die eigenen Überlegungen miteinbeziehen kann.

Denn häufig weiß man etwa im Bereich von Fußballwetten über mögliche Ausfälle von Spielern erst kurz vorher Bescheid und es ist hilfreich, wenn man den eigenen Tipp nicht ohne ein Wissen über solche Fakten abgibt.